Dollar stabilizes; progress of debt ceiling bill, Fed officials in focus

Dollar stabilizes; progress of debt ceiling bill, Fed officials in focus

At 03:55 ET (07:55 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded largely flat at 104.240, just below an over two-month high hit in the previous session.

Risk sentiment received a boost earlier Thursday after a private survey showed that China’s manufacturing sector grew more than expected in May, offering hope of a recovery in the country’s key growth driver after official data had shown a sustained slowdown earlier this week.

This helped USD/CNY fall 0.1% to 7.1072, with the yuan rebounding from six-month lows, although doubts remain about the recovery of the second largest economy in the world given today’s survey only showed a marginal improvement in activity.

The safe-haven dollar has also drifted from its recent highs after the U.S. House of Representatives voted in favor of a bill to suspend the debt ceiling late Wednesday.

The deal now heads to the Senate for approval, but the chance of a default in the world’s largest economy appears to be receding swiftly.

Attention now turns back to the intentions of Federal Reserve officials in terms of monetary policy as the next meeting draws nearer.

A pause on rate hikes in June was given a major boost Wednesday after Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker indicated a willingness to pause interest rate hikes next month to assess incoming data.

“Skipping a rate hike at a coming meeting would allow the Committee to see more data before making decisions about the extent of additional policy firming,” Harker said.

Elsewhere, EUR/USD fell 0.1% to 1.0680 after German retail sales grew 0.8% on the month in April, an improvement on the 2.4% drop the prior month, but this still represented an annual fall of 4.3%.

The focus, however, will be on the May eurozone inflation release later in the session. Figures from a number of individual countries have shown that inflation pressures are easing, and thus there is potential downside to the expected 7.0% annual figure for May.

This would support the view of the dovish members of the European Central Bank governing council who are calling for an early end to interest rate increases.

GBP/USD edged lower to 1.2439 after data from Nationwide building society indicated that housing prices fell once more in May, falling 3.4% on an annual basis.

AUD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.6506, helped by the better-than-expected private Chinese manufacturing PMI numbers, while USD/JPY rose 0.3% to 139.75, although the yen traded well above the recent six-month lows seen versus the dollar.

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